Player stats

Batting Average Minus Expected 2020

Recorded batting average minus the estimate, using the same completed games. A positive number means the actual result was higher. This does not measure luck alone. MLBDB estimates describe recorded contact, not future performance.

Season

At least 100 balls with recorded speed and angle. MLBDB estimates from recorded ball speed and angle. Every contact contribution needed by the statistic must be available. Missing or unsupported inputs remain N/A. These describe recorded contact, not future performance. Data through December 31, 2020. Data refreshed Sep 13, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC.

No. 1 / Batting Average Minus Expected / 2020

Alex Verdugo

BOS

0.068

Season leader

Batting Average Minus Expected2020 season
#	Player	Team	Model balls	Measured%	AVG − MLBDB xBA
1	A. VerdugoAlex Verdugo	BOS	157	100.0%	0.068
2	C. MullinsCedric Mullins	BAL	107	100.0%	0.065
3	A. SimmonsAndrelton Simmons	LAA	102	100.0%	0.059
4	A. BohmAlec Bohm	PHI	126	100.0%	0.049
5	M. YastrzemskiMike Yastrzemski	SF	137	100.0%	0.045
6	M. ConfortoMichael Conforto	NYM	145	100.0%	0.040
7	C. BiggioCavan Biggio	TOR	159	100.0%	0.038
8	M. BrantleyMichael Brantley	HOU	142	100.0%	0.037
9	D. FletcherDavid Fletcher	LAA	185	100.0%	0.030
10	M. OzunaMarcell Ozuna	ATL	169	100.0%	0.028
11	R. NúñezRenato Núñez	BAL	132	100.0%	0.028
12	B. AndersonBrian Anderson	MIA	135	100.0%	0.028
13	M. MorelandMitch Moreland	SD	104	100.0%	0.025
14	J. RealmutoJ.T. Realmuto	PHI	125	100.0%	0.024
15	I. Kiner-FalefaIsiah Kiner-Falefa	TEX	180	100.0%	0.021
16	B. BeltBrandon Belt	SF	113	100.0%	0.019
17	Y. GrandalYasmani Grandal	CWS	105	100.0%	0.019
18	V. RoblesVictor Robles	WSH	118	100.0%	0.019
19	P. GoldschmidtPaul Goldschmidt	STL	149	100.0%	0.018
20	M. DubónMauricio Dubón	SF	124	100.0%	0.018
21	W. FloresWilmer Flores	SF	163	100.0%	0.018
22	J. SotoJuan Soto	WSH	126	100.0%	0.017
23	C. HernándezCésar Hernández	CLE	177	100.0%	0.016
24	N. ArenadoNolan Arenado	COL	166	100.0%	0.016
25	J. SeguraJean Segura	PHI	148	100.0%	0.015
26	J. AbreuJosé Abreu	CWS	182	100.0%	0.014
27	P. DeJongPaul DeJong	STL	106	100.0%	0.014
28	R. CanóRobinson Canó	NYM	148	100.0%	0.011
29	N. SolakNick Solak	TEX	171	100.0%	0.010
30	L. ArraezLuis Arraez	MIN	102	100.0%	0.009
31	T. LopesTim Lopes	SEA	109	100.0%	0.009
32	L. García Jr.Luis García Jr.	WSH	105	100.0%	0.008
33	Y. MolinaYadier Molina	STL	126	100.0%	0.006
34	K. TuckerKyle Tucker	HOU	164	100.0%	0.004
35	E. HernándezEnrique Hernández	LAD	109	100.0%	0.002
36	J. AguilarJesús Aguilar	MIA	152	100.0%	0.000
37	A. GarcíaAvisaíl García	MIL	132	100.0%	0.000
38	J. PolancoJorge Polanco	MIN	177	100.0%	-0.002
39	J. BellJosh Bell	PIT	140	100.0%	-0.002
40	T. ShawTravis Shaw	TOR	114	100.0%	-0.003
41	W. ContrerasWillson Contreras	CHC	134	100.0%	-0.004
42	W. MerrifieldWhit Merrifield	KC	216	100.0%	-0.007
43	A. NolaAustin Nola	SD	129	100.0%	-0.008
44	D. MurphyDaniel Murphy	COL	103	100.0%	-0.009
45	E. EncarnaciónEdwin Encarnación	CWS	106	100.0%	-0.009
46	S. PiscottyStephen Piscotty	OAK	108	100.0%	-0.011
47	K. SeagerKyle Seager	SEA	176	100.0%	-0.013
48	M. MoustakasMike Moustakas	CIN	105	100.0%	-0.014
49	F. Tatis Jr.Fernando Tatis Jr.	SD	164	100.0%	-0.015
50	W. RamosWilson Ramos	NYM	112	100.0%	-0.015

AVG − MLBDB xBA: Recorded batting average minus the estimate, using the same completed games. A positive number means the actual result was higher. This does not measure luck alone. MLBDB estimates describe recorded contact, not future performance.

Understanding Batting Average Minus Expected

Read rates alongside playing time. A small sample can produce an extreme result, and a missing value is different from zero.

Season rankings use regular-season records. A player has one combined row across teams; the team label identifies the associated team, not a separate team stint.

Source: MLB statistics and MLBDB derived measures. Formulas describe the measure above. Data refreshed Sep 13, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC.