Player stats

Slugging Minus Expected 2026

Recorded slugging minus the estimate, using the same completed games. A positive number means more bases were recorded than estimated. MLBDB estimates describe recorded contact, not future performance.

Season

At least 100 balls with recorded speed and angle. MLBDB estimates from recorded ball speed and angle. Every contact contribution needed by the statistic must be available. Missing or unsupported inputs remain N/A. These describe recorded contact, not future performance. Data through September 27, 2026. Data refreshed Oct 11, 2026, 8:31 AM UTC.

No. 1 / Slugging Minus Expected / 2026

Nick Allen

HOU

0.122

Season leader

Slugging Minus Expected2026 season
#	Player	Team	Model balls	Measured%	SLG − MLBDB xSLG
1	N. AllenNick Allen	HOU	119	100.0%	0.122
2	J. DeLucaJonny DeLuca	TB	275	100.0%	0.111
3	M. MoniakMickey Moniak	COL	291	100.0%	0.100
4	T. TolbertTyler Tolbert	KC	104	100.0%	0.087
5	T. TaylorTyrone Taylor	CHC	184	100.0%	0.086
6	E. RuizEsteury Ruiz	MIA	134	100.0%	0.081
7	J. BarrosaJorge Barrosa	HOU	109	100.0%	0.081
8	H. RodríguezHéctor Rodríguez	CIN	105	100.0%	0.080
9	S. TaylorSamad Taylor	SD	111	100.0%	0.079
10	D. WaltonDonovan Walton	ATH	187	100.0%	0.074
11	M. ClarkMax Clark	DET	142	100.0%	0.074
12	A. ChaparroAndrés Chaparro	WSH	145	100.0%	0.070
13	E. ValdezEsmerlyn Valdez	PIT	136	100.0%	0.068
14	D. JansenDanny Jansen	TEX	146	100.0%	0.067
15	B. LeeBrooks Lee	MIN	488	100.0%	0.064
16	G. PauleyGraham Pauley	MIA	108	100.0%	0.062
17	K. RuizKeibert Ruiz	WSH	298	100.0%	0.061
18	M. ShawMatt Shaw	CHC	143	100.0%	0.061
19	P. RamírezPedro Ramírez	CHC	195	100.0%	0.061
20	A. VaughnAndrew Vaughn	MIL	237	100.0%	0.059
21	V. Mesa Jr.Victor Mesa Jr.	TB	185	100.0%	0.059
22	J. OrtizJoey Ortiz	MIL	298	100.0%	0.058
23	A. HedgesAustin Hedges	CLE	176	100.0%	0.057
24	N. LoftinNick Loftin	KC	306	100.0%	0.053
25	J. PeñaJeremy Peña	HOU	334	100.0%	0.051
26	C. VázquezChristian Vázquez	HOU	195	100.0%	0.050
27	B. LoweBrandon Lowe	PIT	402	100.0%	0.047
28	S. SuzukiSeiya Suzuki	CHC	393	100.0%	0.047
29	J. FoscueJustin Foscue	TEX	164	100.0%	0.047
30	M. AndujarMiguel Andujar	SD	201	100.0%	0.044
31	M. AmayaMiguel Amaya	CHC	152	100.0%	0.042
32	R. O'HearnRyan O'Hearn	PIT	311	100.0%	0.041
33	Y. DiazYainer Diaz	HOU	289	100.0%	0.041
34	L. ArraezLuis Arraez	PHI	588	100.0%	0.041
35	W. LangfordWyatt Langford	TEX	305	100.0%	0.040
36	T. LarnachTrevor Larnach	MIN	305	100.0%	0.040
37	T. StoryTrevor Story	BOS	167	100.0%	0.039
38	J. PedersonJoc Pederson	TEX	275	100.0%	0.038
39	P. GoldschmidtPaul Goldschmidt	NYY	262	100.0%	0.038
40	D. RushingDalton Rushing	LAD	151	100.0%	0.038
41	N. LukesNathan Lukes	TOR	354	100.0%	0.036
42	C. EmersonColt Emerson	SEA	141	100.0%	0.034
43	A. RamírezAgustín Ramírez	MIA	166	100.0%	0.032
44	J. YoungJared Young	NYM	248	100.0%	0.031
45	H. LeeHao-Yu Lee	DET	247	100.0%	0.031
46	N. SogardNick Sogard	BOS	189	100.0%	0.030
47	A. SeiglerAnthony Seigler	BOS	126	100.0%	0.029
48	C. Encarnacion-StrandChristian Encarnacion-Strand	BAL	143	100.0%	0.029
49	A. PagesAndy Pages	LAD	404	100.0%	0.026
50	G. SánchezGary Sánchez	MIL	167	100.0%	0.026

SLG − MLBDB xSLG: Recorded slugging minus the estimate, using the same completed games. A positive number means more bases were recorded than estimated. MLBDB estimates describe recorded contact, not future performance.

Understanding Slugging Minus Expected

Read rates alongside playing time. A small sample can produce an extreme result, and a missing value is different from zero.

Season rankings use regular-season records. A player has one combined row across teams; the team label identifies the associated team, not a separate team stint.

Source: MLB statistics and MLBDB derived measures. Formulas describe the measure above. Data refreshed Oct 11, 2026, 8:31 AM UTC.