Player stats

Opponents' Batting Average Minus Expected 2022

Recorded batting average minus the estimate, using the same completed games. A positive number means the actual result was higher. This does not measure luck alone. For pitchers, these are opponents' results. MLBDB estimates describe recorded contact, not future performance.

Season

At least 100 balls with recorded speed and angle. MLBDB estimates from recorded ball speed and angle. Every contact contribution needed by the statistic must be available. Missing or unsupported inputs remain N/A. These describe recorded contact, not future performance. Data through December 31, 2022. Data refreshed Sep 13, 2026, 2:32 PM UTC.

No. 1 / Opponents' Batting Average Minus Expected / 2022

Dallas Keuchel

TEX

0.062

Season leader

Opponents' Batting Average Minus Expected2022 season
#	Player	Team	Model balls	Measured%	AVG − MLBDB xBA
1	D. KeuchelDallas Keuchel	TEX	227	100.0%	0.062
2	J. FamiliaJeurys Familia	BOS	139	100.0%	0.058
3	V. GutierrezVladimir Gutierrez	CIN	120	100.0%	0.058
4	Z. LittellZack Littell	SF	137	100.0%	0.052
5	M. BaumannMike Baumann	BAL	115	100.0%	0.050
6	L. WeaverLuke Weaver	KC	120	100.0%	0.050
7	K. SneadKirby Snead	OAK	151	100.0%	0.048
8	T. StephanTrevor Stephan	CLE	163	100.0%	0.045
9	V. AranoVíctor Arano	WSH	127	100.0%	0.045
10	J. LawrenceJustin Lawrence	COL	120	100.0%	0.043
11	M. MinorMike Minor	CIN	332	100.0%	0.042
12	A. WarrenArt Warren	CIN	101	100.0%	0.041
13	D. JefferiesDaulton Jefferies	OAK	134	100.0%	0.039
14	M. LiberatoreMatthew Liberatore	STL	114	100.0%	0.039
15	E. HernándezElieser Hernández	MIA	192	100.0%	0.037
16	C. ThielbarCaleb Thielbar	MIN	147	100.0%	0.035
17	L. TrivinoLou Trivino	NYY	155	100.0%	0.035
18	L. LuetgeLucas Luetge	NYY	170	100.0%	0.034
19	R. BrasierRyan Brasier	BOS	185	100.0%	0.034
20	N. WittgrenNick Wittgren	STL	103	100.0%	0.033
21	J. BrebbiaJohn Brebbia	SF	215	100.0%	0.032
22	N. NelsonNick Nelson	PHI	197	100.0%	0.032
23	J. WinckowskiJosh Winckowski	BOS	243	100.0%	0.032
24	S. HowardSpencer Howard	TEX	131	100.0%	0.032
25	H. HarveyHunter Harvey	WSH	100	100.0%	0.031
26	J. LambertJimmy Lambert	CWS	134	100.0%	0.031
27	K. GausmanKevin Gausman	TOR	491	100.0%	0.031
28	T. ClarkeTaylor Clarke	KC	146	100.0%	0.031
29	C. BrogdonConnor Brogdon	PHI	126	100.0%	0.030
30	J. DiekmanJake Diekman	CWS	140	100.0%	0.030
31	J. HaderJosh Hader	SD	113	100.0%	0.030
32	T. NanceTommy Nance	MIA	114	100.0%	0.026
33	K. JansenKenley Jansen	ATL	151	100.0%	0.025
34	T. BlachTy Blach	COL	151	100.0%	0.025
35	C. MartinChris Martin	LAD	145	100.0%	0.024
36	M. StrahmMatt Strahm	BOS	119	100.0%	0.024
37	W. SmithWill Smith	HOU	169	100.0%	0.024
38	Z. LogueZach Logue	OAK	193	100.0%	0.024
39	L. GiolitoLucas Giolito	CWS	456	100.0%	0.023
40	J. CuasJose Cuas	KC	116	100.0%	0.022
41	C. KimbrelCraig Kimbrel	LAD	155	100.0%	0.022
42	W. VestWill Vest	DET	183	100.0%	0.022
43	D. DunningDane Dunning	TEX	460	100.0%	0.022
44	Y. MarteYunior Marte	SF	142	100.0%	0.021
45	J. McGeeJake McGee	WSH	126	100.0%	0.021
46	J. DuranJhoan Duran	MIN	157	100.0%	0.020
47	A. ChafinAndrew Chafin	DET	154	100.0%	0.020
48	J. OviedoJohan Oviedo	PIT	162	100.0%	0.020
49	A. OllerAdam Oller	OAK	249	100.0%	0.020
50	C. StammenCraig Stammen	SD	129	100.0%	0.019

AVG − MLBDB xBA: Recorded batting average minus the estimate, using the same completed games. A positive number means the actual result was higher. This does not measure luck alone. For pitchers, these are opponents' results. MLBDB estimates describe recorded contact, not future performance.

Understanding Opponents' Batting Average Minus Expected

Read rates alongside playing time. A small sample can produce an extreme result, and a missing value is different from zero.

Season rankings use regular-season records. A player has one combined row across teams; the team label identifies the associated team, not a separate team stint.

Source: MLB statistics and MLBDB derived measures. Formulas describe the measure above. Data refreshed Sep 13, 2026, 2:32 PM UTC.