Player stats

Batting Average Minus Expected 2022

Recorded batting average minus the estimate, using the same completed games. A positive number means the actual result was higher. This does not measure luck alone. MLBDB estimates describe recorded contact, not future performance.

Season

At least 100 balls with recorded speed and angle. MLBDB estimates from recorded ball speed and angle. Every contact contribution needed by the statistic must be available. Missing or unsupported inputs remain N/A. These describe recorded contact, not future performance. Data through December 31, 2022. Data refreshed Sep 13, 2026, 2:32 PM UTC.

No. 1 / Batting Average Minus Expected / 2022

Bubba Thompson

TEX

0.091

Season leader

Batting Average Minus Expected2022 season
#	Player	Team	Model balls	Measured%	AVG − MLBDB xBA
1	B. ThompsonBubba Thompson	TEX	116	100.0%	0.091
2	T. StephensonTyler Stephenson	CIN	121	100.0%	0.065
3	S. ZavalaSeby Zavala	CWS	118	99.2%	0.060
4	C. LeblancCharles Leblanc	MIA	103	100.0%	0.048
5	J. McNeilJeff McNeil	NYM	477	100.0%	0.046
6	A. GiménezAndrés Giménez	CLE	386	100.0%	0.041
7	A. WynnsAustin Wynns	SF	126	100.0%	0.039
8	J. YepezJuan Yepez	STL	196	100.0%	0.036
9	I. VargasIldemaro Vargas	WSH	188	100.0%	0.033
10	A. BenintendiAndrew Benintendi	NYY	390	100.0%	0.032
11	M. MachadoManny Machado	SD	447	100.0%	0.032
12	V. GrissomVaughn Grissom	ATL	108	100.0%	0.032
13	R. McGuireReese McGuire	BOS	202	100.0%	0.032
14	K. BryantKris Bryant	COL	135	100.0%	0.031
15	T. MarcanoTucupita Marcano	PIT	122	100.0%	0.031
16	E. JiménezEloy Jiménez	CWS	224	100.0%	0.030
17	J. AdellJo Adell	LAA	162	100.0%	0.030
18	S. HaggertySam Haggerty	SEA	126	100.0%	0.028
19	O. CabreraOswaldo Cabrera	NYY	112	100.0%	0.028
20	H. AlbertoHanser Alberto	LAD	131	100.0%	0.028
21	L. MaileLuke Maile	CLE	130	100.0%	0.028
22	T. FriedlTJ Friedl	CIN	191	100.0%	0.025
23	D. MooreDylan Moore	SEA	132	100.0%	0.025
24	R. RefsnyderRob Refsnyder	BOS	110	100.0%	0.024
25	E. MonteroElehuris Montero	COL	116	100.0%	0.024
26	S. MarteStarling Marte	NYM	369	100.0%	0.023
27	C. CorreaCarlos Correa	MIN	405	100.0%	0.022
28	J. HarrisonJosh Harrison	CWS	319	100.0%	0.022
29	V. RoblesVictor Robles	WSH	277	100.0%	0.022
30	M. TroutMike Trout	LAA	300	100.0%	0.021
31	H. BaderHarrison Bader	NYY	232	100.0%	0.021
32	B. MarshBrandon Marsh	PHI	272	100.0%	0.021
33	T. StoryTrevor Story	BOS	239	100.0%	0.020
34	L. Gurriel Jr.Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	TOR	372	100.0%	0.019
35	L. García Jr.Luis García Jr.	WSH	281	100.0%	0.018
36	A. KirilloffAlex Kirilloff	MIN	110	100.0%	0.018
37	H. RenfroeHunter Renfroe	MIL	358	100.0%	0.017
38	C. McCormickChas McCormick	HOU	254	100.0%	0.017
39	L. GuillormeLuis Guillorme	NYM	253	100.0%	0.015
40	N. MazaraNomar Mazara	SD	119	100.0%	0.015
41	M. MoustakasMike Moustakas	CIN	180	100.0%	0.015
42	G. TorresGleyber Torres	NYY	401	100.0%	0.014
43	J. LoweJosh Lowe	TB	116	100.0%	0.014
44	R. ChirinosRobinson Chirinos	BAL	130	100.0%	0.014
45	N. GordonNick Gordon	MIN	309	100.0%	0.013
46	B. ReynoldsBryan Reynolds	PIT	403	100.0%	0.013
47	L. RengifoLuis Rengifo	LAA	411	100.0%	0.012
48	E. LongoriaEvan Longoria	SF	186	100.0%	0.012
49	L. Robert Jr.Luis Robert Jr.	CWS	304	100.0%	0.011
50	P. AlonsoPete Alonso	NYM	478	100.0%	0.011

AVG − MLBDB xBA: Recorded batting average minus the estimate, using the same completed games. A positive number means the actual result was higher. This does not measure luck alone. MLBDB estimates describe recorded contact, not future performance.

Understanding Batting Average Minus Expected

Read rates alongside playing time. A small sample can produce an extreme result, and a missing value is different from zero.

Season rankings use regular-season records. A player has one combined row across teams; the team label identifies the associated team, not a separate team stint.

Source: MLB statistics and MLBDB derived measures. Formulas describe the measure above. Data refreshed Sep 13, 2026, 2:32 PM UTC.