Player stats

Batting Average Minus Expected 2023

Recorded batting average minus the estimate, using the same completed games. A positive number means the actual result was higher. This does not measure luck alone. MLBDB estimates describe recorded contact, not future performance.

Season

At least 100 balls with recorded speed and angle. MLBDB estimates from recorded ball speed and angle. Every contact contribution needed by the statistic must be available. Missing or unsupported inputs remain N/A. These describe recorded contact, not future performance. Data through December 31, 2023. Data refreshed Sep 13, 2026, 2:33 PM UTC.

No. 1 / Batting Average Minus Expected / 2023

Jose Altuve

HOU

0.071

Season leader

Batting Average Minus Expected2023 season
#	Player	Team	Model balls	Measured%	AVG − MLBDB xBA
1	J. AltuveJose Altuve	HOU	290	100.0%	0.071
2	R. McGuireReese McGuire	BOS	137	100.0%	0.059
3	Z. RemillardZach Remillard	CWS	103	100.0%	0.054
4	W. BensonWill Benson	CIN	185	100.0%	0.050
5	R. LewisRoyce Lewis	MIN	162	100.0%	0.048
6	J. TrioloJared Triolo	PIT	119	100.0%	0.048
7	R. AdamsRiley Adams	WSH	100	100.0%	0.048
8	B. BeltBrandon Belt	TOR	200	100.0%	0.046
9	E. MonteroElehuris Montero	COL	176	100.0%	0.046
10	R. JeffersRyan Jeffers	MIN	199	100.0%	0.043
11	T. FriedlTJ Friedl	CIN	409	100.0%	0.042
12	R. UríasRamón Urías	BAL	260	100.0%	0.040
13	G. UrshelaGio Urshela	LAA	181	100.0%	0.038
14	C. McCormickChas McCormick	HOU	289	100.0%	0.035
15	E. JulienEdouard Julien	MIN	214	100.0%	0.035
16	W. MerrifieldWhit Merrifield	TOR	452	100.0%	0.033
17	J. Chisholm Jr.Jazz Chisholm Jr.	MIA	237	100.0%	0.033
18	J. DuranJarren Duran	BOS	244	100.0%	0.032
19	T. MurphyTom Murphy	SEA	103	100.0%	0.032
20	R. O'HearnRyan O'Hearn	BAL	268	100.0%	0.032
21	L. RaleyLuke Raley	TB	232	100.0%	0.030
22	M. FordMike Ford	SEA	139	100.0%	0.030
23	W. CastroWilli Castro	MIN	264	100.0%	0.029
24	J. GalloJoey Gallo	MIN	140	100.0%	0.028
25	P. ReyesPablo Reyes	BOS	150	100.0%	0.027
26	J. MenesesJoey Meneses	WSH	484	100.0%	0.027
27	C. WongConnor Wong	BOS	241	100.0%	0.027
28	N. PrattoNick Pratto	KC	172	100.0%	0.027
29	L. ArraezLuis Arraez	MIA	544	100.0%	0.026
30	E. DuranEzequiel Duran	TEX	289	100.0%	0.026
31	J. OutmanJames Outman	LAD	306	100.0%	0.026
32	F. MejíaFrancisco Mejía	TB	115	100.0%	0.026
33	A. SlaterAustin Slater	SF	127	100.0%	0.024
34	J. HeywardJason Heyward	LAD	273	100.0%	0.024
35	A. SantanderAnthony Santander	BAL	443	100.0%	0.024
36	E. RuizEsteury Ruiz	OAK	355	100.0%	0.024
37	Z. GelofZack Gelof	OAK	189	100.0%	0.022
38	C. SeagerCorey Seager	TEX	395	100.0%	0.021
39	L. ThomasLane Thomas	WSH	459	100.0%	0.020
40	J. CaballeroJosé Caballero	SEA	169	100.0%	0.020
41	M. BettsMookie Betts	LAD	482	100.0%	0.019
42	M. GarverMitch Garver	TEX	214	100.0%	0.019
43	E. SosaEdmundo Sosa	PHI	207	99.5%	0.019
44	C. TaylorChris Taylor	LAD	214	100.0%	0.019
45	R. NodaRyan Noda	OAK	238	100.0%	0.019
46	B. NimmoBrandon Nimmo	NYM	451	100.0%	0.018
47	M. WallnerMatt Wallner	MIN	133	100.0%	0.018
48	A. KniznerAndrew Knizner	STL	164	100.0%	0.018
49	R. GrossmanRobbie Grossman	TEX	263	100.0%	0.018
50	S. FrelickSal Frelick	MIL	157	100.0%	0.017

AVG − MLBDB xBA: Recorded batting average minus the estimate, using the same completed games. A positive number means the actual result was higher. This does not measure luck alone. MLBDB estimates describe recorded contact, not future performance.

Understanding Batting Average Minus Expected

Read rates alongside playing time. A small sample can produce an extreme result, and a missing value is different from zero.

Season rankings use regular-season records. A player has one combined row across teams; the team label identifies the associated team, not a separate team stint.

Source: MLB statistics and MLBDB derived measures. Formulas describe the measure above. Data refreshed Sep 13, 2026, 2:33 PM UTC.