Player stats

Batting Average Minus Expected 2025

Recorded batting average minus the estimate, using the same completed games. A positive number means the actual result was higher. This does not measure luck alone. MLBDB estimates describe recorded contact, not future performance.

Season

At least 100 balls with recorded speed and angle. MLBDB estimates from recorded ball speed and angle. Every contact contribution needed by the statistic must be available. Missing or unsupported inputs remain N/A. These describe recorded contact, not future performance. Data through December 31, 2025. Data refreshed Sep 13, 2026, 2:35 PM UTC.

No. 1 / Batting Average Minus Expected / 2025

Tyler Heineman

TOR

0.070

Season leader

Batting Average Minus Expected2025 season
#	Player	Team	Model balls	Measured%	AVG − MLBDB xBA
1	T. HeinemanTyler Heineman	TOR	125	100.0%	0.070
2	H. KimHyeseong Kim	LAD	110	100.0%	0.060
3	D. SchneiderDavis Schneider	TOR	129	100.0%	0.048
4	L. KeaschallLuke Keaschall	MIN	154	100.0%	0.044
5	P. SmithPavin Smith	AZ	154	100.0%	0.041
6	T. TurnerTrea Turner	PHI	484	100.0%	0.038
7	G. StantonGiancarlo Stanton	NYY	154	100.0%	0.036
8	K. IsbelKyle Isbel	KC	309	99.7%	0.036
9	P. DeJongPaul DeJong	WSH	126	100.0%	0.035
10	K. TeelKyle Teel	CWS	178	100.0%	0.034
11	T. FriedlTJ Friedl	CIN	473	100.0%	0.032
12	R. RitterRyan Ritter	COL	130	99.2%	0.032
13	R. Acuña Jr.Ronald Acuña Jr.	ATL	236	100.0%	0.030
14	J. BáezJavier Báez	DET	311	100.0%	0.028
15	T. FitzgeraldTyler Fitzgerald	SF	154	100.0%	0.027
16	W. SmithWill Smith	LAD	278	100.0%	0.026
17	G. LuxGavin Lux	CIN	333	100.0%	0.026
18	J. BartJoey Bart	PIT	192	100.0%	0.026
19	J. ChourioJackson Chourio	MIL	435	100.0%	0.025
20	R. RefsnyderRob Refsnyder	BOS	130	100.0%	0.024
21	E. QueroEdgar Quero	CWS	296	100.0%	0.024
22	J. DomínguezJasson Domínguez	NYY	270	100.0%	0.024
23	F. AlvarezFrancisco Alvarez	NYM	173	100.0%	0.024
24	A. FrazierAdam Frazier	KC	344	100.0%	0.023
25	K. MisnerKameron Misner	TB	131	100.0%	0.023
26	R. GreeneRiley Greene	DET	404	100.0%	0.021
27	D. SolanoDonovan Solano	TEX	128	100.0%	0.021
28	T. SaggeseThomas Saggese	STL	195	100.0%	0.019
29	A. BregmanAlex Bregman	BOS	365	100.0%	0.018
30	I. Kiner-FalefaIsiah Kiner-Falefa	TOR	360	100.0%	0.018
31	Y. MoncadaYoán Moncada	LAA	175	100.0%	0.018
32	C. NarváezCarlos Narváez	BOS	296	100.0%	0.017
33	J. CaballeroJosé Caballero	NYY	222	100.0%	0.017
34	E. SuárezEugenio Suárez	SEA	399	100.0%	0.017
35	A. RodenAlan Roden	MIN	102	100.0%	0.017
36	M. WinnMasyn Winn	STL	393	100.0%	0.016
37	F. FerminFreddy Fermin	SD	261	100.0%	0.016
38	D. JansenDanny Jansen	MIL	205	100.0%	0.016
39	C. AbramsCJ Abrams	WSH	459	100.0%	0.015
40	C. RaleighCal Raleigh	SEA	411	100.0%	0.015
41	R. HoskinsRhys Hoskins	MIL	194	100.0%	0.015
42	J. WestburgJordan Westburg	BAL	249	100.0%	0.014
43	J. BledayJJ Bleday	ATH	217	100.0%	0.014
44	J. HerreraJose Herrera	AZ	133	100.0%	0.014
45	A. RileyAustin Riley	ATL	289	100.0%	0.013
46	B. StottBryson Stott	PHI	414	100.0%	0.013
47	W. FloresWilmer Flores	SF	334	100.0%	0.013
48	S. TorkelsonSpencer Torkelson	DET	399	100.0%	0.013
49	N. FortesNick Fortes	TB	174	100.0%	0.013
50	E. DuranEzequiel Duran	TEX	152	100.0%	0.013

AVG − MLBDB xBA: Recorded batting average minus the estimate, using the same completed games. A positive number means the actual result was higher. This does not measure luck alone. MLBDB estimates describe recorded contact, not future performance.

Understanding Batting Average Minus Expected

Read rates alongside playing time. A small sample can produce an extreme result, and a missing value is different from zero.

Season rankings use regular-season records. A player has one combined row across teams; the team label identifies the associated team, not a separate team stint.

Source: MLB statistics and MLBDB derived measures. Formulas describe the measure above. Data refreshed Sep 13, 2026, 2:35 PM UTC.