Player stats

Slugging Minus Expected 2025

Recorded slugging minus the estimate, using the same completed games. A positive number means more bases were recorded than estimated. MLBDB estimates describe recorded contact, not future performance.

Season

At least 100 balls with recorded speed and angle. MLBDB estimates from recorded ball speed and angle. Every contact contribution needed by the statistic must be available. Missing or unsupported inputs remain N/A. These describe recorded contact, not future performance. Data through December 31, 2025. Data refreshed Sep 13, 2026, 2:35 PM UTC.

No. 1 / Slugging Minus Expected / 2025

Tyler Heineman

TOR

0.119

Season leader

Slugging Minus Expected2025 season
#	Player	Team	Model balls	Measured%	SLG − MLBDB xSLG
1	T. HeinemanTyler Heineman	TOR	125	100.0%	0.119
2	H. KimHyeseong Kim	LAD	110	100.0%	0.079
3	Z. McKinstryZach McKinstry	DET	347	100.0%	0.079
4	W. BernabelWarming Bernabel	COL	114	100.0%	0.073
5	L. KeaschallLuke Keaschall	MIN	154	100.0%	0.071
6	G. StantonGiancarlo Stanton	NYY	154	100.0%	0.070
7	E. SuárezEugenio Suárez	SEA	399	100.0%	0.066
8	K. IsbelKyle Isbel	KC	309	99.7%	0.064
9	R. RitterRyan Ritter	COL	130	99.2%	0.064
10	T. FriedlTJ Friedl	CIN	473	100.0%	0.060
11	D. VarshoDaulton Varsho	TOR	176	100.0%	0.057
12	J. BledayJJ Bleday	ATH	217	100.0%	0.057
13	L. MatosLuis Matos	SF	146	100.0%	0.056
14	A. RodenAlan Roden	MIN	102	100.0%	0.054
15	D. LileDaylen Lile	WSH	269	100.0%	0.052
16	T. TurnerTrea Turner	PHI	484	100.0%	0.051
17	T. FitzgeraldTyler Fitzgerald	SF	154	100.0%	0.050
18	K. MisnerKameron Misner	TB	131	100.0%	0.050
19	D. MooreDylan Moore	TEX	140	100.0%	0.049
20	A. MartínezAngel Martínez	CLE	345	100.0%	0.046
21	W. FloresWilmer Flores	SF	334	100.0%	0.043
22	D. JansenDanny Jansen	MIL	205	100.0%	0.043
23	C. RaleighCal Raleigh	SEA	411	100.0%	0.041
24	J. ChourioJackson Chourio	MIL	435	100.0%	0.040
25	J. BáezJavier Báez	DET	311	100.0%	0.040
26	G. LuxGavin Lux	CIN	333	100.0%	0.039
27	W. PérezWenceel Pérez	DET	262	100.0%	0.038
28	D. SchneiderDavis Schneider	TOR	129	100.0%	0.038
29	C. AbramsCJ Abrams	WSH	459	100.0%	0.035
30	A. WellsAustin Wells	NYY	294	100.0%	0.035
31	A. BregmanAlex Bregman	BOS	365	100.0%	0.034
32	P. SmithPavin Smith	AZ	154	100.0%	0.034
33	E. CarterEvan Carter	TEX	153	100.0%	0.034
34	C. NarváezCarlos Narváez	BOS	296	100.0%	0.034
35	A. FrazierAdam Frazier	KC	344	100.0%	0.031
36	I. Kiner-FalefaIsiah Kiner-Falefa	TOR	360	100.0%	0.031
37	J. PolancoJorge Polanco	SEA	397	100.0%	0.030
38	J. HerreraJose Herrera	AZ	133	100.0%	0.030
39	Y. MoncadaYoán Moncada	LAA	175	100.0%	0.028
40	R. HoskinsRhys Hoskins	MIL	194	100.0%	0.027
41	N. FortesNick Fortes	TB	174	100.0%	0.026
42	C. DurbinCaleb Durbin	MIL	402	100.0%	0.025
43	T. WardTaylor Ward	LAA	410	100.0%	0.025
44	R. RefsnyderRob Refsnyder	BOS	130	100.0%	0.024
45	P. DeJongPaul DeJong	WSH	126	100.0%	0.024
46	C. MooreChristian Moore	LAA	102	100.0%	0.024
47	J. DomínguezJasson Domínguez	NYY	270	100.0%	0.023
48	C. MontgomeryColson Montgomery	CWS	173	100.0%	0.023
49	G. PauleyGraham Pauley	MIA	127	100.0%	0.023
50	N. Alvarez Jr.Nacho Alvarez Jr.	ATL	142	100.0%	0.022

SLG − MLBDB xSLG: Recorded slugging minus the estimate, using the same completed games. A positive number means more bases were recorded than estimated. MLBDB estimates describe recorded contact, not future performance.

Understanding Slugging Minus Expected

Read rates alongside playing time. A small sample can produce an extreme result, and a missing value is different from zero.

Season rankings use regular-season records. A player has one combined row across teams; the team label identifies the associated team, not a separate team stint.

Source: MLB statistics and MLBDB derived measures. Formulas describe the measure above. Data refreshed Sep 13, 2026, 2:35 PM UTC.