Player stats

Opponents' Slugging Minus Expected 2025

Recorded slugging minus the estimate, using the same completed games. A positive number means more bases were recorded than estimated. For pitchers, these are opponents' results. MLBDB estimates describe recorded contact, not future performance.

Season

At least 100 balls with recorded speed and angle. MLBDB estimates from recorded ball speed and angle. Every contact contribution needed by the statistic must be available. Missing or unsupported inputs remain N/A. These describe recorded contact, not future performance. Data through December 31, 2025. Data refreshed Sep 13, 2026, 2:35 PM UTC.

No. 1 / Opponents' Slugging Minus Expected / 2025

Jorge Alcala

STL

0.120

Season leader

Opponents' Slugging Minus Expected2025 season
#	Player	Team	Model balls	Measured%	SLG − MLBDB xSLG
1	J. AlcalaJorge Alcala	STL	165	100.0%	0.120
2	A. DeSclafaniAnthony DeSclafani	AZ	116	100.0%	0.103
3	J. RomanoJordan Romano	PHI	120	100.0%	0.098
4	C. PalmquistCarson Palmquist	COL	120	100.0%	0.098
5	K. YatesKirby Yates	LAD	108	100.0%	0.095
6	G. CabreraGénesis Cabrera	MIN	132	100.0%	0.093
7	S. DubinShawn Dubin	BAL	104	100.0%	0.087
8	Z. EflinZach Eflin	BAL	244	100.0%	0.086
9	J. LeasureJordan Leasure	CWS	157	100.0%	0.079
10	B. YoungBrandon Young	BAL	187	100.0%	0.077
11	J. HaderJosh Hader	HOU	111	100.0%	0.074
12	Y. CanoYennier Cano	BAL	170	100.0%	0.071
13	Y. DarvishYu Darvish	SD	203	100.0%	0.071
14	J. SearsJP Sears	SD	424	100.0%	0.068
15	C. BrogdonConnor Brogdon	LAA	132	100.0%	0.066
16	J. EstradaJeremiah Estrada	SD	166	100.0%	0.065
17	J. BirdJake Bird	NYY	154	100.0%	0.064
18	A. NolaAaron Nola	PHI	275	100.0%	0.064
19	C. RagansCole Ragans	KC	137	100.0%	0.062
20	J. HicksJordan Hicks	BOS	215	100.0%	0.060
21	A. GomberAustin Gomber	COL	220	100.0%	0.055
22	D. EnnsDietrich Enns	BAL	136	100.0%	0.054
23	T. HatchThomas Hatch	MIN	113	100.0%	0.054
24	S. OgasawaraShinnosuke Ogasawara	WSH	123	100.0%	0.053
25	S. ManaeaSean Manaea	NYM	169	100.0%	0.052
26	A. MolinaAnthony Molina	COL	126	100.0%	0.051
27	K. OrtKaleb Ort	HOU	116	100.0%	0.049
28	Z. KellyZack Kelly	BOS	102	100.0%	0.047
29	S. BazShane Baz	TB	462	100.0%	0.047
30	T. ScottTanner Scott	LAD	156	100.0%	0.045
31	E. RodriguezEduardo Rodriguez	AZ	489	100.0%	0.045
32	S. LongSam Long	KC	132	100.0%	0.043
33	K. HartKyle Hart	SD	127	100.0%	0.043
34	T. HouckTanner Houck	BOS	149	100.0%	0.043
35	P. MessickParker Messick	CLE	121	100.0%	0.041
36	J. LopezJacob Lopez	ATH	241	100.0%	0.041
37	G. MárquezGermán Márquez	COL	452	100.0%	0.041
38	R. HelsleyRyan Helsley	NYM	163	100.0%	0.040
39	K. HendricksKyle Hendricks	LAA	533	100.0%	0.039
40	A. ChivilliAngel Chivilli	COL	203	100.0%	0.039
41	B. FrancisBowden Francis	TOR	201	100.0%	0.038
42	J. HoffmanJeff Hoffman	TOR	172	100.0%	0.035
43	L. McCullers Jr.Lance McCullers Jr.	HOU	166	100.0%	0.035
44	N. CrismattNabil Crismatt	AZ	118	100.0%	0.032
45	C. BurnsChase Burns	CIN	105	100.0%	0.032
46	B. OberBailey Ober	MIN	468	100.0%	0.032
47	B. WoodruffBrandon Woodruff	MIL	156	100.0%	0.031
48	G. GraceffoGordon Graceffo	STL	138	100.0%	0.031
49	C. SmithCade Smith	CLE	173	100.0%	0.029
50	C. LeguminaCasey Legumina	SEA	137	100.0%	0.027

SLG − MLBDB xSLG: Recorded slugging minus the estimate, using the same completed games. A positive number means more bases were recorded than estimated. For pitchers, these are opponents' results. MLBDB estimates describe recorded contact, not future performance.

Understanding Opponents' Slugging Minus Expected

Read rates alongside playing time. A small sample can produce an extreme result, and a missing value is different from zero.

Season rankings use regular-season records. A player has one combined row across teams; the team label identifies the associated team, not a separate team stint.

Source: MLB statistics and MLBDB derived measures. Formulas describe the measure above. Data refreshed Sep 13, 2026, 2:35 PM UTC.