Player stats

Opponents' Batting Average Minus Expected 2025

Recorded batting average minus the estimate, using the same completed games. A positive number means the actual result was higher. This does not measure luck alone. For pitchers, these are opponents' results. MLBDB estimates describe recorded contact, not future performance.

Season

At least 100 balls with recorded speed and angle. MLBDB estimates from recorded ball speed and angle. Every contact contribution needed by the statistic must be available. Missing or unsupported inputs remain N/A. These describe recorded contact, not future performance. Data through December 31, 2025. Data refreshed Sep 13, 2026, 2:35 PM UTC.

No. 1 / Opponents' Batting Average Minus Expected / 2025

Carson Palmquist

COL

0.065

Season leader

Opponents' Batting Average Minus Expected2025 season
#	Player	Team	Model balls	Measured%	AVG − MLBDB xBA
1	C. PalmquistCarson Palmquist	COL	120	100.0%	0.065
2	J. AlcalaJorge Alcala	STL	165	100.0%	0.061
3	P. MessickParker Messick	CLE	121	100.0%	0.054
4	J. RomanoJordan Romano	PHI	120	100.0%	0.053
5	Y. CanoYennier Cano	BAL	170	100.0%	0.051
6	A. GomberAustin Gomber	COL	220	100.0%	0.048
7	B. YoungBrandon Young	BAL	187	100.0%	0.047
8	S. DubinShawn Dubin	BAL	104	100.0%	0.045
9	C. RagansCole Ragans	KC	137	100.0%	0.042
10	T. HatchThomas Hatch	MIN	113	100.0%	0.042
11	J. BirdJake Bird	NYY	154	100.0%	0.041
12	A. ChivilliAngel Chivilli	COL	203	100.0%	0.039
13	Z. EflinZach Eflin	BAL	244	100.0%	0.038
14	J. EstradaJeremiah Estrada	SD	166	100.0%	0.034
15	R. HelsleyRyan Helsley	NYM	163	100.0%	0.032
16	G. CabreraGénesis Cabrera	MIN	132	100.0%	0.032
17	K. FunderburkKody Funderburk	MIN	122	100.0%	0.031
18	C. BrogdonConnor Brogdon	LAA	132	100.0%	0.031
19	J. HicksJordan Hicks	BOS	215	100.0%	0.031
20	A. MolinaAnthony Molina	COL	126	100.0%	0.031
21	C. LeguminaCasey Legumina	SEA	137	100.0%	0.030
22	G. MárquezGermán Márquez	COL	452	100.0%	0.030
23	Z. KellyZack Kelly	BOS	102	100.0%	0.029
24	S. LongSam Long	KC	132	100.0%	0.029
25	C. MizeCasey Mize	DET	448	99.8%	0.028
26	J. SearsJP Sears	SD	424	100.0%	0.028
27	R. ThompsonRyan Thompson	AZ	124	100.0%	0.027
28	E. RodriguezEduardo Rodriguez	AZ	489	100.0%	0.027
29	Y. DarvishYu Darvish	SD	203	100.0%	0.027
30	L. McCullers Jr.Lance McCullers Jr.	HOU	166	100.0%	0.027
31	E. ClaseEmmanuel Clase	CLE	138	100.0%	0.026
32	J. WilsonJustin Wilson	BOS	128	100.0%	0.026
33	B. OberBailey Ober	MIN	468	100.0%	0.026
34	Z. MatthewsZebby Matthews	MIN	242	100.0%	0.026
35	S. OgasawaraShinnosuke Ogasawara	WSH	123	100.0%	0.026
36	T. HouckTanner Houck	BOS	149	100.0%	0.026
37	K. OrtKaleb Ort	HOU	116	100.0%	0.025
38	J. WentzJoey Wentz	ATL	306	100.0%	0.024
39	D. EnnsDietrich Enns	BAL	136	100.0%	0.023
40	C. BurnsChase Burns	CIN	105	100.0%	0.023
41	H. MilnerHoby Milner	TEX	212	100.0%	0.021
42	J. LopezJacob Lopez	ATH	241	100.0%	0.021
43	C. JavierCristian Javier	HOU	107	100.0%	0.021
44	A. NolaAaron Nola	PHI	275	100.0%	0.021
45	C. DollanderChase Dollander	COL	304	100.0%	0.021
46	K. AllardKolby Allard	CLE	209	100.0%	0.020
47	L. RouppLanden Roupp	SF	326	100.0%	0.020
48	S. BazShane Baz	TB	462	100.0%	0.020
49	W. VestWill Vest	DET	186	100.0%	0.018
50	A. DeSclafaniAnthony DeSclafani	AZ	116	100.0%	0.018

AVG − MLBDB xBA: Recorded batting average minus the estimate, using the same completed games. A positive number means the actual result was higher. This does not measure luck alone. For pitchers, these are opponents' results. MLBDB estimates describe recorded contact, not future performance.

Understanding Opponents' Batting Average Minus Expected

Read rates alongside playing time. A small sample can produce an extreme result, and a missing value is different from zero.

Season rankings use regular-season records. A player has one combined row across teams; the team label identifies the associated team, not a separate team stint.

Source: MLB statistics and MLBDB derived measures. Formulas describe the measure above. Data refreshed Sep 13, 2026, 2:35 PM UTC.