Player stats

Opponents' Slugging Minus Expected 2023

Recorded slugging minus the estimate, using the same completed games. A positive number means more bases were recorded than estimated. For pitchers, these are opponents' results. MLBDB estimates describe recorded contact, not future performance.

Season

At least 100 balls with recorded speed and angle. MLBDB estimates from recorded ball speed and angle. Every contact contribution needed by the statistic must be available. Missing or unsupported inputs remain N/A. These describe recorded contact, not future performance. Data through December 31, 2023. Data refreshed Sep 13, 2026, 2:33 PM UTC.

No. 1 / Opponents' Slugging Minus Expected / 2023

Nick Lodolo

CIN

0.131

Season leader

Opponents' Slugging Minus Expected2023 season
#	Player	Team	Model balls	Measured%	SLG − MLBDB xSLG
1	N. LodoloNick Lodolo	CIN	102	100.0%	0.131
2	N. DavisNoah Davis	COL	101	100.0%	0.131
3	R. WalkerRyan Walker	SF	159	100.0%	0.106
4	G. StoneGavin Stone	LAD	115	100.0%	0.099
5	J. UreñaJosé Ureña	CWS	151	100.0%	0.098
6	D. RomDrew Rom	STL	119	100.0%	0.094
7	J. SuarezJosé Suarez	LAA	116	100.0%	0.089
8	H. GreeneHunter Greene	CIN	290	100.0%	0.088
9	C. SeaboldConnor Seabold	COL	306	100.0%	0.085
10	Q. PriesterQuinn Priester	PIT	168	100.0%	0.077
11	D. SmylyDrew Smyly	CHC	423	100.0%	0.074
12	B. PfaadtBrandon Pfaadt	AZ	298	100.0%	0.074
13	K. NelsonKyle Nelson	AZ	157	100.0%	0.068
14	M. SorokaMichael Soroka	ATL	100	100.0%	0.067
15	A. VothAustin Voth	BAL	108	100.0%	0.065
16	J. RuizJosé Ruiz	AZ	141	100.0%	0.064
17	J. LambertJimmy Lambert	CWS	110	100.0%	0.062
18	B. HandBrad Hand	ATL	150	100.0%	0.061
19	K. WaldichukKen Waldichuk	OAK	426	100.0%	0.059
20	J. A. FerrerJose A. Ferrer	WSH	103	100.0%	0.058
21	L. SeverinoLuis Severino	NYY	298	100.0%	0.057
22	P. JohnsonPierce Johnson	ATL	157	100.0%	0.056
23	J. LópezJorge López	BAL	187	100.0%	0.056
24	C. KluberCorey Kluber	BOS	190	100.0%	0.055
25	J. PaxtonJames Paxton	BOS	273	100.0%	0.052
26	C. MurphyChris Murphy	BOS	145	100.0%	0.051
27	L. ErcegLucas Erceg	OAK	141	100.0%	0.050
28	T. RichardsTrevor Richards	TOR	173	100.0%	0.050
29	T. BradleyTaj Bradley	TB	291	100.0%	0.050
30	J. BeeksJalen Beeks	TB	123	100.0%	0.050
31	C. CriswellCooper Criswell	TB	109	100.0%	0.047
32	J. JunisJakob Junis	SF	243	100.0%	0.046
33	H. GaddisHunter Gaddis	CLE	140	100.0%	0.046
34	A. PukA.J. Puk	MIA	149	100.0%	0.045
35	N. CortesNestor Cortes	NYY	176	100.0%	0.045
36	L. CessaLuis Cessa	CIN	108	100.0%	0.044
37	D. SmithDrew Smith	NYM	150	100.0%	0.043
38	T. ClarkeTaylor Clarke	KC	173	100.0%	0.042
39	E. LauerEric Lauer	MIL	144	100.0%	0.042
40	P. LópezPablo López	MIN	509	100.0%	0.041
41	J. UríasJulio Urías	LAD	333	100.0%	0.040
42	H. BrownHunter Brown	HOU	423	100.0%	0.040
43	P. SewaldPaul Sewald	AZ	144	100.0%	0.039
44	Y. GarcíaYimi García	TOR	182	100.0%	0.039
45	E. SheehanEmmet Sheehan	LAD	157	100.0%	0.039
46	G. WhitlockGarrett Whitlock	BOS	216	100.0%	0.039
47	D. LeoneDominic Leone	SEA	151	100.0%	0.038
48	J. DuranJhoan Duran	MIN	142	100.0%	0.036
49	M. WaldronMatt Waldron	SD	130	100.0%	0.036
50	K. WrightKyle Wright	ATL	100	100.0%	0.036

SLG − MLBDB xSLG: Recorded slugging minus the estimate, using the same completed games. A positive number means more bases were recorded than estimated. For pitchers, these are opponents' results. MLBDB estimates describe recorded contact, not future performance.

Understanding Opponents' Slugging Minus Expected

Read rates alongside playing time. A small sample can produce an extreme result, and a missing value is different from zero.

Season rankings use regular-season records. A player has one combined row across teams; the team label identifies the associated team, not a separate team stint.

Source: MLB statistics and MLBDB derived measures. Formulas describe the measure above. Data refreshed Sep 13, 2026, 2:33 PM UTC.