Player stats

Opponents' Batting Average Minus Expected 2023

Recorded batting average minus the estimate, using the same completed games. A positive number means the actual result was higher. This does not measure luck alone. For pitchers, these are opponents' results. MLBDB estimates describe recorded contact, not future performance.

Season

At least 100 balls with recorded speed and angle. MLBDB estimates from recorded ball speed and angle. Every contact contribution needed by the statistic must be available. Missing or unsupported inputs remain N/A. These describe recorded contact, not future performance. Data through December 31, 2023. Data refreshed Sep 13, 2026, 2:33 PM UTC.

No. 1 / Opponents' Batting Average Minus Expected / 2023

Nick Lodolo

CIN

0.103

Season leader

Opponents' Batting Average Minus Expected2023 season
#	Player	Team	Model balls	Measured%	AVG − MLBDB xBA
1	N. LodoloNick Lodolo	CIN	102	100.0%	0.103
2	N. DavisNoah Davis	COL	101	100.0%	0.091
3	D. RomDrew Rom	STL	119	100.0%	0.068
4	T. ClarkeTaylor Clarke	KC	173	100.0%	0.058
5	J. SuarezJosé Suarez	LAA	116	100.0%	0.054
6	R. WalkerRyan Walker	SF	159	100.0%	0.052
7	K. WrightKyle Wright	ATL	100	100.0%	0.052
8	G. AndersonGrant Anderson	TEX	109	100.0%	0.049
9	C. SeaboldConnor Seabold	COL	306	100.0%	0.048
10	K. RosenbergKenny Rosenberg	LAA	102	100.0%	0.045
11	J. BeeksJalen Beeks	TB	123	100.0%	0.042
12	L. ErcegLucas Erceg	OAK	141	100.0%	0.041
13	H. GreeneHunter Greene	CIN	290	100.0%	0.041
14	M. ThompsonMason Thompson	WSH	170	100.0%	0.041
15	E. RamírezErasmo Ramírez	TB	214	100.0%	0.040
16	K. NelsonKyle Nelson	AZ	157	100.0%	0.038
17	A. VesiaAlex Vesia	LAD	134	100.0%	0.037
18	A. VothAustin Voth	BAL	108	100.0%	0.037
19	R. BleierRichard Bleier	BOS	108	100.0%	0.036
20	J. A. FerrerJose A. Ferrer	WSH	103	100.0%	0.035
21	K. MullerKyle Muller	OAK	274	100.0%	0.035
22	M. BrashMatt Brash	SEA	166	100.0%	0.034
23	K. JansenKenley Jansen	BOS	117	100.0%	0.034
24	B. PfaadtBrandon Pfaadt	AZ	298	100.0%	0.034
25	A. PukA.J. Puk	MIA	149	100.0%	0.033
26	G. StoneGavin Stone	LAD	115	100.0%	0.033
27	K. WaldichukKen Waldichuk	OAK	426	100.0%	0.032
28	C. MurphyChris Murphy	BOS	145	100.0%	0.031
29	D. DoddDylan Dodd	ATL	136	100.0%	0.031
30	J. JunisJakob Junis	SF	243	100.0%	0.030
31	T. RichardsTrevor Richards	TOR	173	100.0%	0.030
32	N. CortesNestor Cortes	NYY	176	100.0%	0.030
33	C. KluberCorey Kluber	BOS	190	100.0%	0.030
34	J. KingJohn King	STL	127	100.0%	0.029
35	Y. RamírezYohan Ramírez	CWS	113	100.0%	0.029
36	B. KellerBrad Keller	KC	132	100.0%	0.029
37	E. SheehanEmmet Sheehan	LAD	157	100.0%	0.029
38	D. SmylyDrew Smyly	CHC	423	100.0%	0.028
39	H. BrownHunter Brown	HOU	423	100.0%	0.028
40	J. RuizJosé Ruiz	AZ	141	100.0%	0.028
41	M. GroveMichael Grove	LAD	207	100.0%	0.028
42	Y. GarcíaYimi García	TOR	182	100.0%	0.027
43	P. BlackburnPaul Blackburn	OAK	313	100.0%	0.027
44	L. CessaLuis Cessa	CIN	108	100.0%	0.027
45	J. WinckowskiJosh Winckowski	BOS	251	100.0%	0.026
46	J. DuranJhoan Duran	MIN	142	100.0%	0.025
47	C. PérezCionel Pérez	BAL	172	100.0%	0.025
48	P. LópezPablo López	MIN	509	100.0%	0.025
49	A. WainwrightAdam Wainwright	STL	387	100.0%	0.025
50	J. MusgroveJoe Musgrove	SD	272	100.0%	0.024

AVG − MLBDB xBA: Recorded batting average minus the estimate, using the same completed games. A positive number means the actual result was higher. This does not measure luck alone. For pitchers, these are opponents' results. MLBDB estimates describe recorded contact, not future performance.

Understanding Opponents' Batting Average Minus Expected

Read rates alongside playing time. A small sample can produce an extreme result, and a missing value is different from zero.

Season rankings use regular-season records. A player has one combined row across teams; the team label identifies the associated team, not a separate team stint.

Source: MLB statistics and MLBDB derived measures. Formulas describe the measure above. Data refreshed Sep 13, 2026, 2:33 PM UTC.