Player stats

Opponents' Batting Average Minus Expected 2026

Recorded batting average minus the estimate, using the same completed games. A positive number means the actual result was higher. This does not measure luck alone. For pitchers, these are opponents' results. MLBDB estimates describe recorded contact, not future performance.

Season

At least 100 balls with recorded speed and angle. MLBDB estimates from recorded ball speed and angle. Every contact contribution needed by the statistic must be available. Missing or unsupported inputs remain N/A. These describe recorded contact, not future performance. Data through September 27, 2026. Data refreshed Oct 11, 2026, 8:31 AM UTC.

No. 1 / Opponents' Batting Average Minus Expected / 2026

Matt Waldron

WSH

0.087

Season leader

Opponents' Batting Average Minus Expected2026 season
#	Player	Team	Model balls	Measured%	AVG − MLBDB xBA
1	M. WaldronMatt Waldron	WSH	148	100.0%	0.087
2	B. BassoBrady Basso	ATH	158	100.0%	0.050
3	D. WilliamsDevin Williams	NYM	111	100.0%	0.048
4	T. ZuberTyler Zuber	MIA	120	100.0%	0.047
5	M. StrahmMatt Strahm	KC	115	100.0%	0.045
6	J. HergetJimmy Herget	COL	161	100.0%	0.042
7	L. ErcegLucas Erceg	KC	156	100.0%	0.041
8	J. BirdJake Bird	WSH	113	100.0%	0.041
9	B. HudsonBryan Hudson	CWS	200	100.0%	0.039
10	P. SchultzPaxton Schultz	WSH	107	100.0%	0.038
11	T. RogersTaylor Rogers	MIN	186	100.0%	0.036
12	P. SandovalPatrick Sandoval	BOS	214	100.0%	0.036
13	M. FluhartyMason Fluharty	TOR	169	100.0%	0.029
14	C. GibsonCade Gibson	MIA	150	100.0%	0.029
15	L. SeverinoLuis Severino	ATH	173	100.0%	0.027
16	E. De Los SantosEnyel De Los Santos	HOU	213	100.0%	0.027
17	T. AlexanderTyler Alexander	TEX	225	100.0%	0.026
18	R. ThompsonRyan Thompson	AZ	141	100.0%	0.026
19	A. CivaleAaron Civale	CHC	361	100.0%	0.025
20	A. LangeAlex Lange	KC	176	100.0%	0.024
21	A. MorrisAndrew Morris	MIN	222	100.0%	0.024
22	M. BarnettMason Barnett	ATH	147	100.0%	0.024
23	S. HentgesSam Hentges	SF	103	100.0%	0.024
24	R. FeltnerRyan Feltner	COL	401	100.0%	0.023
25	G. CanningGriffin Canning	SD	257	100.0%	0.023
26	S. Woods RichardsonSimeon Woods Richardson	TOR	224	100.0%	0.023
27	C. DollanderChase Dollander	COL	121	100.0%	0.022
28	E. SiskEvan Sisk	PIT	113	100.0%	0.022
29	A. AshbyAaron Ashby	MIL	224	100.0%	0.021
30	F. CruzFernando Cruz	NYY	133	100.0%	0.021
31	Y. KikuchiYusei Kikuchi	LAA	205	100.0%	0.021
32	C. WhisenhuntCarson Whisenhunt	SF	116	100.0%	0.021
33	C. SilsethChase Silseth	TEX	157	100.0%	0.021
34	B. SnellBlake Snell	LAD	101	100.0%	0.020
35	D. SmithDylan Smith	SF	108	100.0%	0.020
36	M. LiberatoreMatthew Liberatore	STL	460	100.0%	0.019
37	J. WoodfordJake Woodford	TB	101	100.0%	0.019
38	C. CriswellCooper Criswell	SEA	124	100.0%	0.018
39	M. FestaMatt Festa	CLE	193	100.0%	0.018
40	T. HerrinTim Herrin	CLE	153	100.0%	0.018
41	M. ParkerMitchell Parker	WSH	129	100.0%	0.018
42	S. BlewettScott Blewett	ATH	115	100.0%	0.018
43	M. BrattMitch Bratt	AZ	136	100.0%	0.017
44	W. DionWill Dion	WSH	128	100.0%	0.017
45	E. BazardoEduard Bazardo	SEA	200	100.0%	0.016
46	K. FinneganKyle Finnegan	DET	188	100.0%	0.016
47	E. PagánEmilio Pagán	CIN	114	100.0%	0.016
48	B. EisertBrandon Eisert	PIT	125	100.0%	0.016
49	M. MillerMason Miller	SD	115	100.0%	0.015
50	K. HarrisonKyle Harrison	MIL	320	100.0%	0.015

AVG − MLBDB xBA: Recorded batting average minus the estimate, using the same completed games. A positive number means the actual result was higher. This does not measure luck alone. For pitchers, these are opponents' results. MLBDB estimates describe recorded contact, not future performance.

Understanding Opponents' Batting Average Minus Expected

Read rates alongside playing time. A small sample can produce an extreme result, and a missing value is different from zero.

Season rankings use regular-season records. A player has one combined row across teams; the team label identifies the associated team, not a separate team stint.

Source: MLB statistics and MLBDB derived measures. Formulas describe the measure above. Data refreshed Oct 11, 2026, 8:31 AM UTC.