Player stats

Opponents' Slugging Minus Expected 2026

Recorded slugging minus the estimate, using the same completed games. A positive number means more bases were recorded than estimated. For pitchers, these are opponents' results. MLBDB estimates describe recorded contact, not future performance.

Season

At least 100 balls with recorded speed and angle. MLBDB estimates from recorded ball speed and angle. Every contact contribution needed by the statistic must be available. Missing or unsupported inputs remain N/A. These describe recorded contact, not future performance. Data through September 27, 2026. Data refreshed Oct 11, 2026, 8:31 AM UTC.

No. 1 / Opponents' Slugging Minus Expected / 2026

Matt Strahm

0.149

Season leader

Opponents' Slugging Minus Expected2026 season
#	Player	Team	Model balls	Measured%	SLG − MLBDB xSLG
1	M. StrahmMatt Strahm	KC	115	100.0%	0.149
2	M. WaldronMatt Waldron	WSH	148	100.0%	0.147
3	B. BassoBrady Basso	ATH	158	100.0%	0.136
4	T. ZuberTyler Zuber	MIA	120	100.0%	0.134
5	J. LawrenceJustin Lawrence	WSH	100	100.0%	0.096
6	L. ErcegLucas Erceg	KC	156	100.0%	0.095
7	M. BarnettMason Barnett	ATH	147	100.0%	0.095
8	J. HergetJimmy Herget	COL	161	100.0%	0.078
9	L. McCullers Jr.Lance McCullers Jr.	MIL	118	100.0%	0.078
10	E. De Los SantosEnyel De Los Santos	HOU	213	100.0%	0.073
11	D. WilliamsDevin Williams	NYM	111	100.0%	0.071
12	R. AhlstromRobby Ahlstrom	TEX	111	100.0%	0.068
13	E. SheehanEmmet Sheehan	LAD	299	100.0%	0.063
14	R. MarinaccioRon Marinaccio	CIN	178	100.0%	0.063
15	J. WoodfordJake Woodford	TB	101	100.0%	0.063
16	G. AndersonGrant Anderson	MIL	159	100.0%	0.061
17	A. LangeAlex Lange	KC	176	100.0%	0.060
18	K. SengaKodai Senga	NYM	163	100.0%	0.059
19	S. CruzSteven Cruz	KC	158	100.0%	0.059
20	M. BrattMitch Bratt	AZ	136	100.0%	0.059
21	C. GibsonCade Gibson	MIA	150	100.0%	0.058
22	K. HarrisonKyle Harrison	MIL	320	100.0%	0.057
23	A. CivaleAaron Civale	CHC	361	100.0%	0.057
24	W. DionWill Dion	WSH	128	100.0%	0.055
25	B. EisertBrandon Eisert	PIT	125	100.0%	0.053
26	R. ThompsonRyan Thompson	AZ	141	100.0%	0.052
27	J. ScholtensJesse Scholtens	TB	154	100.0%	0.047
28	R. FeltnerRyan Feltner	COL	401	100.0%	0.046
29	J. QuintanaJose Quintana	COL	166	100.0%	0.045
30	L. SeverinoLuis Severino	ATH	173	100.0%	0.044
31	S. BlewettScott Blewett	ATH	115	100.0%	0.044
32	C. MizeCasey Mize	SD	398	100.0%	0.043
33	I. SeymourIan Seymour	TB	352	100.0%	0.041
34	F. CruzFernando Cruz	NYY	133	100.0%	0.041
35	M. ParkerMitchell Parker	WSH	129	100.0%	0.041
36	C. ShugartChase Shugart	PHI	140	100.0%	0.041
37	J. BirdJake Bird	WSH	113	100.0%	0.041
38	T. RogersTaylor Rogers	MIN	186	100.0%	0.040
39	G. CleavingerGarrett Cleavinger	TB	103	100.0%	0.040
40	E. SiskEvan Sisk	PIT	113	100.0%	0.038
41	G. CanningGriffin Canning	SD	257	100.0%	0.036
42	P. SchultzPaxton Schultz	WSH	107	100.0%	0.035
43	S. Woods RichardsonSimeon Woods Richardson	TOR	224	100.0%	0.035
44	S. ManaeaSean Manaea	NYM	447	99.6%	0.034
45	G. SotoGregory Soto	PIT	169	100.0%	0.033
46	B. HudsonBryan Hudson	CWS	200	100.0%	0.033
47	G. MárquezGermán Márquez	SD	173	100.0%	0.032
48	Y. KikuchiYusei Kikuchi	LAA	205	100.0%	0.031
49	P. SkenesPaul Skenes	PIT	451	100.0%	0.030
50	A. MorrisAndrew Morris	MIN	222	100.0%	0.030

SLG − MLBDB xSLG: Recorded slugging minus the estimate, using the same completed games. A positive number means more bases were recorded than estimated. For pitchers, these are opponents' results. MLBDB estimates describe recorded contact, not future performance.

Understanding Opponents' Slugging Minus Expected

Read rates alongside playing time. A small sample can produce an extreme result, and a missing value is different from zero.

Season rankings use regular-season records. A player has one combined row across teams; the team label identifies the associated team, not a separate team stint.

Source: MLB statistics and MLBDB derived measures. Formulas describe the measure above. Data refreshed Oct 11, 2026, 8:31 AM UTC.