Player stats

Slugging Minus Expected 2021

Recorded slugging minus the estimate, using the same completed games. A positive number means more bases were recorded than estimated. MLBDB estimates describe recorded contact, not future performance.

Season

At least 100 balls with recorded speed and angle. MLBDB estimates from recorded ball speed and angle. Every contact contribution needed by the statistic must be available. Missing or unsupported inputs remain N/A. These describe recorded contact, not future performance. Data through December 31, 2021. Data refreshed Sep 13, 2026, 2:31 PM UTC.

No. 1 / Slugging Minus Expected / 2021

Nick Madrigal

CWS

0.101

Season leader

Slugging Minus Expected2021 season
#	Player	Team	Model balls	Measured%	SLG − MLBDB xSLG
1	N. MadrigalNick Madrigal	CWS	184	100.0%	0.101
2	C. MullinsCedric Mullins	BAL	482	100.0%	0.082
3	J. MarisnickJake Marisnick	SD	115	100.0%	0.081
4	D. NuñezDom Nuñez	COL	138	100.0%	0.079
5	M. SchrockMax Schrock	CIN	102	100.0%	0.078
6	B. BeltBrandon Belt	SF	223	100.0%	0.073
7	T. JankowskiTravis Jankowski	PHI	104	100.0%	0.072
8	Y. GurrielYuli Gurriel	HOU	474	100.0%	0.071
9	H. BaderHarrison Bader	STL	284	100.0%	0.071
10	F. MejíaFrancisco Mejía	TB	204	100.0%	0.069
11	J. AltuveJose Altuve	HOU	517	100.0%	0.064
12	N. ArenadoNolan Arenado	STL	504	100.0%	0.064
13	J. FuentesJoshua Fuentes	COL	207	100.0%	0.064
14	B. PhillipsBrett Phillips	TB	144	100.0%	0.063
15	M. BeatyMatt Beaty	LAD	160	100.0%	0.061
16	W. MyersWil Myers	SD	305	100.0%	0.061
17	G. SheetsGavin Sheets	CWS	121	100.0%	0.061
18	J. LuplowJordan Luplow	TB	106	100.0%	0.061
19	T. TaylorTyrone Taylor	MIL	185	100.0%	0.060
20	P. WisdomPatrick Wisdom	CHC	185	100.0%	0.058
21	S. EspinalSantiago Espinal	TOR	193	100.0%	0.057
22	C. CulbersonCharlie Culberson	TEX	188	100.0%	0.057
23	B. De La CruzBryan De La Cruz	MIA	147	100.0%	0.054
24	K. WongKolten Wong	MIL	365	100.0%	0.054
25	R. ZimmermanRyan Zimmerman	WSH	180	100.0%	0.054
26	C. ArroyoChristian Arroyo	BOS	121	100.0%	0.051
27	F. GalvisFreddy Galvis	PHI	284	100.0%	0.051
28	E. DíazElias Díaz	COL	279	100.0%	0.048
29	T. GrishamTrent Grisham	SD	348	100.0%	0.048
30	R. TorreyesRonald Torreyes	PHI	283	100.0%	0.048
31	W. FrancoWander Franco	TB	245	100.0%	0.047
32	K. MarteKetel Marte	AZ	281	100.0%	0.045
33	J. PerazaJosé Peraza	NYM	116	100.0%	0.045
34	N. AhmedNick Ahmed	AZ	333	100.0%	0.044
35	G. SpringerGeorge Springer	TOR	221	100.0%	0.041
36	W. AdamesWilly Adames	MIL	342	100.0%	0.041
37	H. KimHa-Seong Kim	SD	201	100.0%	0.041
38	A. EscobarAlcides Escobar	WSH	267	100.0%	0.040
39	M. MoustakasMike Moustakas	CIN	140	100.0%	0.039
40	K. PillarKevin Pillar	NYM	245	100.0%	0.038
41	B. BuxtonByron Buxton	MIN	173	100.0%	0.034
42	S. HilliardSam Hilliard	COL	127	100.0%	0.034
43	N. CastellanosNick Castellanos	CIN	416	100.0%	0.033
44	A. GarcíaAdolis García	TEX	391	100.0%	0.033
45	Y. TsutsugoYoshi Tsutsugo	PIT	160	100.0%	0.033
46	A. BarnesAustin Barnes	LAD	145	100.0%	0.032
47	A. BaddooAkil Baddoo	DET	294	100.0%	0.030
48	R. MountcastleRyan Mountcastle	BAL	380	100.0%	0.030
49	C. DickersonCorey Dickerson	TOR	269	100.0%	0.029
50	Z. McKinstryZach McKinstry	LAD	111	100.0%	0.029

SLG − MLBDB xSLG: Recorded slugging minus the estimate, using the same completed games. A positive number means more bases were recorded than estimated. MLBDB estimates describe recorded contact, not future performance.

Understanding Slugging Minus Expected

Read rates alongside playing time. A small sample can produce an extreme result, and a missing value is different from zero.

Season rankings use regular-season records. A player has one combined row across teams; the team label identifies the associated team, not a separate team stint.

Source: MLB statistics and MLBDB derived measures. Formulas describe the measure above. Data refreshed Sep 13, 2026, 2:31 PM UTC.